Naughty-Middle
0x94f498b717b8041c59579a99c73af3250fe4ea54
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$236.25
Total PnL
$-15.0K
Realised
$4.2K
Win rate
92%
63 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
1575 shares @ 75.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$236.25
$-945.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in March 2026?
4615 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-336.35
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in March 2026?
3812 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-232.91
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?
3785 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-219.26
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in March 2026?
3317 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-437.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?
3268 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-255.48
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in May 2026?
3129 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-87.22
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?
2790 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-49.39
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in May 2026?
2786 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-56.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in May 2026?
2782 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-65.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$479.37Jun 9, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$5.76Jun 9, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$11.39Jun 9, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$12.52Jun 9, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$28.29Jun 9, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$33.82Jun 9, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$25.58Jun 9, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$11.86Jun 9, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$10.84Jun 9, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$59.48Jun 9, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$16.99Jun 9, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$31.17Jun 9, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$24.24Jun 9, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$39.58Jun 9, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$9.43Jun 9, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$14.50Jun 9, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$29.33Jun 8, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$18.27Jun 8, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$4.64Jun 8, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$21.37Jun 8, 08:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $17.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 14:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 21:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 63 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.