Authorized-Enrollment
0x95098aa63511003a523913c813c98ad1cf103afd
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$0.04
Total PnL
$-459.39
Realised
$-26.20
Win rate
64%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.04
$-4.96
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?
604 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $72 by end of February?
225 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
219 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-14.46
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?
175 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of January?
172 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.50
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
150 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 29?
135 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.12Jun 29, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$5.00May 18, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$5.00May 18, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$5.00May 18, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 28?$5.00Apr 28, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 9?$28.00Mar 9, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 9?$5.00Mar 9, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?$0.00Mar 9, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 9?$14.43Mar 9, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$32.79Mar 9, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 9?$50.00Mar 9, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?$3.00Mar 9, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?$5.00Mar 9, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?$0.00Mar 9, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?$1.00Mar 9, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?$15.15Mar 9, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?$1.00Mar 9, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 3?$5.00Mar 3, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?$5.00Mar 2, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?$5.00Mar 2, 02:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
64% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $8.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 14:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 17:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.