Natural-Serum
0x95172e263f7d5761099126e33ce08f41038ef0b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$557.42
Total PnL
$1.28
Realised
$-14.17
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
79 shares @ 87.2¢·now 97.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$77.01
$7.92
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
71 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$70.84
$1.24
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
71 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$70.74
$0.74
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
70 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$70.20
$0.60
- NO
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 U.S. Open?
72 shares @ 96.6¢·now 95.6¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$68.85
$-0.75
- NO
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m?
70 shares @ 94.8¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$65.34
$-0.99
- NO
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Algeria?
36 shares @ 96.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$35.85
$1.31
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?
38 shares @ 90.7¢·now 93.7¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$35.66
$1.12
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
36 shares @ 89.8¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$34.85
$2.73
- NO
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?
28 shares @ 93.7¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$28.06
$1.53
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Iraq win on 2026-06-16?$78.52Jun 17, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16?$76.90Jun 16, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 16?$76.42Jun 16, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on June 16?$79.74Jun 16, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on June 16?$78.48Jun 16, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$34.11Jun 16, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$39.59Jun 16, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Algeria?$34.53Jun 16, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$34.43Jun 16, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$297.88Jun 16, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: France 1 - 2 Senegal?$34.45Jun 16, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Algeria?$34.46Jun 16, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$8.35Jun 16, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$31.56Jun 16, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$32.12Jun 16, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$34.54Jun 16, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$34.54Jun 16, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?$34.54Jun 16, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Algeria?$34.58Jun 16, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 2 Senegal?$34.58Jun 16, 13:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $62.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 02:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.