Grim-Canoe-Structure
0x952ae52a8096a987efa8db4b5b7600403b3790f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
125
Open notional
$46.70
Total PnL
$-329.12
Realised
$16.62
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 125- NONGSHIM ESPORTS ACADEMY
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$5.00
$2.25
- DALLAS WINGS
Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings
8 shares @ 50.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$4.12
$0.12
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
20 shares @ 17.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.90
$0.50
- UNDER
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5
7 shares @ 55.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$3.81
$-0.04
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
7 shares @ 47.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$3.60
$0.31
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
8 shares @ 38.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$3.48
$0.44
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
8 shares @ 39.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.24
$0.12
- JD GAMING
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$2.73
$-0.02
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
12 shares @ 21.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.58
$0.06
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$2.58
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1.41Aug 7, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winner$3.75Aug 7, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner$4.96Aug 7, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - August 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$6.10Aug 7, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winner$2.01Aug 7, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$5.84Aug 7, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner$2.71Aug 7, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - August 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$5.00Aug 7, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner$2.71Aug 7, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$4.77Aug 7, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group$1.40Aug 7, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner$4.22Aug 7, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$7.24Aug 7, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$6.36Aug 7, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner$2.16Aug 7, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$8.16Aug 7, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$7.94Aug 7, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)$2.81Aug 7, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$31.73Aug 7, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$32.92Aug 7, 04:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $5.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 7, 01:33 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 06:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.