Doting-Perception
0x95515d565883c67c17521794d9adaf9c9699eb62
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$5.31
Total PnL
$-113.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
40 shares @ 2.8¢·now 11.2¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$4.46
$3.34
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
6 shares @ 48.0¢·now 13.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.85
$-2.15
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
88 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
31 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
30 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.17
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
30 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.17
- YES
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Islam Makhachev win by KO or TKO?
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?
20 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.05Jul 14, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$5.10Jul 14, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$1.04Jul 14, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.66Jul 11, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?$1.02Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jul 1, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.08Jul 1, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$3.05Jul 1, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?$1.03Jun 23, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?$1.02Jun 18, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.14Jun 17, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$5.04Jun 17, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?$1.03Jun 17, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$7.44Jun 17, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?$3.00Apr 24, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$6.73Apr 24, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Suns$1.00Apr 18, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$1.00Apr 15, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.00Apr 15, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 15, 10:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 06:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 12:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.