Female-Eagle
0x958fc3b4945e582dc4781a16bd5c3902b2faa83c
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$224.27
Total PnL
$-26.7K
Realised
$-117.53
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
236 shares @ 63.4¢·now 75.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$178.56
$28.56
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
191 shares @ 26.2¢·now 23.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$45.71
$-4.29
- YES
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?
19900 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-123.18
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-106.49
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4156 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-865.08
- YES
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-28?
4010 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-339.87
- NO
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?
2401 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-596.40
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
2230 shares @ 78.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
2114 shares @ 96.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Galatasaray reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?
2040 shares @ 30.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-628.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-21?$20.81Jul 20, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Górnik Zabrze win on 2026-07-21?$5.23Jul 20, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$51.48Jul 20, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$152.74Jul 20, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$250.00Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$51.32Jul 18, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$51.00Jul 18, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$102.00Jul 18, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$61.71Jul 18, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$178.90Jul 18, 12:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$47.03Jul 14, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$51.10Jul 14, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$50.72Jul 14, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: France O/U 2.5$20.59Jul 14, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-3.5)$5.25Jul 14, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$102.17Jul 14, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-1.5)$26.03Jul 14, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-2.5)$20.94Jul 14, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance AND France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners$75.00Jul 14, 18:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $50.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 22:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 18:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.