Impeccable-Leather
0x95992aa7416b3e1eb43f57aec5e4803ee9e837fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$32.90
Total PnL
$-157.64
Realised
$7.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
20 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$18.10
$1.10
- NO
Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
20 shares @ 75.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2027$14.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
130 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-75.40
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
50 shares @ 96.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-48.25
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
20 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.80
- YES
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?
20 shares @ 59.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-11.86
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
20 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-14.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?$15.00Aug 15, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$17.10Aug 14, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$14.80Aug 9, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?$22.50Aug 3, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$19.99Aug 1, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$15.80Jul 30, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$50.00Jul 23, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?$11.85Jul 20, 03:36 UTC
- REWARD$0.88Jul 13, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$18.79Jul 12, 05:32 UTC
- REWARD$0.31Jul 6, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$40.50Jul 5, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?$50.00Jun 30, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$12.14Jun 24, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?$48.80Jun 18, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$48.25Jun 11, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$75.40May 19, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$10.00May 18, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?$10.00May 18, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$10.00May 18, 03:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $167.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 21:34 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 01:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.