Juvenile-Effect
0x95a7cd4b6ec03f517d087b1ec73424cbc9070ed3
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$224.02
Total PnL
$105.84
Realised
$205.78
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
352 shares @ 47.1¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$110.73
$-54.85
- NO
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
390 shares @ 18.4¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$40.96
$-30.86
- YES
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$5.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
10 shares @ 27.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$2.55
$-0.15
- NO
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
26 shares @ 8.2¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$2.47
$0.33
- NO
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
13 shares @ 21.4¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$2.40
$-0.38
- NO
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$2.23
$0.17
- NO
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$2.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
5 shares @ 39.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$2.07
$0.12
- NO
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$2.07
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$1.92Jun 12, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?$1.48Jun 12, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?$1.43Jun 12, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$0.00Jun 12, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$9.99Jun 12, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?$39.96Jun 11, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?$33.47Jun 11, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$5.00Jun 7, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?$0.79Jun 4, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-26?$0.57Jun 4, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-26?$0.63Jun 4, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$1.79Jun 4, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?$8.26Jun 4, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$0.73Jun 4, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$1.22Jun 4, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-19?$0.70Jun 3, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-19?$1.50Jun 3, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win on 2026-06-19?$0.98Jun 3, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$1.00Jun 3, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$0.68Jun 3, 03:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 09:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 12:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.