Radiant-Travel
0x95b2dd73eb4c498449f10530b5e849ae24fc87af
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$5.00
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
5 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$5.00
$3.20
- CARDINALS
Cardinals vs. Cubs
10002 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.9K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on January 2?
7655 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-7.65
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 12?
7642 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.64
- WIZARDS
Mavericks vs. Wizards
4895 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-4.89
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
101 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-47.47
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
5 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$4.24Feb 12, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$4.57Feb 12, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$8.58Feb 12, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 12?$7.64Feb 12, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$30.08Feb 12, 05:47 UTC
- REWARD$1.06Jan 3, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on January 2?$7.65Jan 2, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Wizards$4.89Nov 9, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMPenguins vs. Rangers$1.5KOct 8, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Rangers$24.06Oct 7, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Rangers$7.38Oct 7, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Rangers$1.62Oct 7, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Rangers$1.90Oct 7, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Rangers$1.61Oct 7, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Rangers$49.25Oct 7, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Rangers$3.30Oct 7, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Rangers$12.58Oct 7, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Rangers$0.49Oct 7, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Rangers$0.49Oct 7, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Rangers$7.39Oct 7, 08:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $196.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 11:03 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 09:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.