0x95cd5b363e22d6ec290a43ed2e57f8928e03b9a8
0x95cd5b363e22d6ec290a43ed2e57f8928e03b9a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$285.42
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$5.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
420 shares @ 61.6¢·now 36.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$151.28
$-107.71
- YES
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
100 shares @ 80.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$95.50
$15.50
- YES
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?
138 shares @ 27.7¢·now 28.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$38.64
$0.39
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
1459 shares @ 65.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-961.97
- NO
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?
909 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-225.00
- YES
Will Katie Porter advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
797 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-32.70
- YES
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?
757 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-42.22
- YES
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
640 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-448.20
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?
533 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-16.40
- YES
Will Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
405 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-58.69
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$130.56Jul 10, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?$8.33Jul 1, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?$5.68Jul 1, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?$6.71Jul 1, 03:43 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.18Jun 25, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$66.00Jun 24, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$40.80Jun 24, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$20.40Jun 24, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$5.52Jun 24, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$20.70Jun 24, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$8.28Jun 24, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$35.50Jun 24, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$35.50Jun 24, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$29.18Jun 24, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$76.68Jun 24, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$0.64Jun 24, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?$59.28Jun 24, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$5.76Jun 24, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$30.24Jun 23, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$73.00Jun 23, 04:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $27.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 07:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 08:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.