Nocturnal-Ambassador
0x95d888bfc949106161c542f16523d00552b02922
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-69.77
Realised
$4.68
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
7523 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.72
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
5405 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.41
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
3472 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.47
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
1999 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
1850 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.86
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
1133 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.13
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?
1099 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Trump-Class" or "Trump Fleet" in April?$0.87Apr 24, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $70 in April?$0.59Apr 24, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?$0.59Apr 24, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.54Apr 24, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Latvia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.58Apr 24, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.73Apr 24, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?$0.50Apr 24, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $600 in April?$0.50Apr 24, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$0.58Apr 24, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$0.77Apr 24, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?$0.56Apr 24, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$0.44Apr 24, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Viktor Orbán by April 30, 2026?$0.45Apr 24, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April?$0.33Apr 24, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$0.37Apr 24, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.30Apr 24, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Trump Turnberry" in April?$0.16Apr 24, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?$0.17Apr 24, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.15Apr 24, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "The War Is Over" this week? (April 20 - 26)$0.79Apr 24, 04:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 04:19 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 04:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.