Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$68.4K
Liquidity
$27.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
-41.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 856.4h
- 07:35SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 856h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.2pp
to 0¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 0¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 0¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.9pp
to 0¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 0¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.9pp
to 0¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.3pp
to 0¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.3pp
to 0¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.8pp
to 0¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.8pp
to 0¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.3pp
to 0¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.9pp
to 0¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.3pp
to 0¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.4pp
to 0¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.3pp
to 0¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.3pp
to 0¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.3pp
to 0¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.3pp
to 0¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.4pp
to 0¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.4pp
to 0¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.9pp
to 0¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -28.3pp
to 0¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -34.8pp
to 0¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -35.8pp
to 0¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.5pp
to 1¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -28.0pp
to 1¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -44.4pp
to 1¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -40.8pp
to 1¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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