0x95da4d79ec3ede767409ab9186f3ab84c1c97811
0x95da4d79ec3ede767409ab9186f3ab84c1c97811
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$9.83
Total PnL
$-24.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
7 shares @ 71.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$6.98
$1.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$2.04
$1.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.81
$-0.19
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
5 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$1.05Jul 2, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 2?$1.04Jul 2, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-07-01?$2.60Jul 2, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-07-01?$1.03Jul 1, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-01?$2.04Jul 1, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$2.05Jul 1, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-01?$2.03Jul 1, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-30?$4.35Jul 1, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?$1.04Jul 1, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-30?$2.05Jul 1, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on June 30?$2.04Jul 1, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-30?$2.60Jul 1, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$1.06Jun 30, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 30?$1.05Jun 30, 00:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$1.22Jun 30, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$1.02Jun 30, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$3.45Jun 30, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?$2.04Jun 29, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$2.05Jun 29, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?$3.33Jun 29, 02:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 06:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 01:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.