Frequent-Counselling
0x95dbc7c4b969361c7b368e959b1e665286876b18
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
140
Open notional
$1.16
Total PnL
$-465.62
Realised
$49.59
Win rate
78%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 140- YES
Will George Pickens play for Pittsburgh Steelers in 2026-27?
15 shares @ 28.0¢·now 7.1¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$1.06
$-3.14
- YES
Will Tyler Glasnow win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
70 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 12, 2026$0.04
$-2.77
- YES
Will Blake Snell win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
60 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 12, 2026$0.03
$-2.37
- YES
Will Spencer Strider win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
60 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 12, 2026$0.03
$-2.37
- YES
Will Yoo Young-ha win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
476 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
270 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.13
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
270 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-22.36
- YES
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?
190 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.06
- YES
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?
170 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- YES
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
160 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Zack Wheeler win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?$2.23Jul 21, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zack Wheeler win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?$1.00Jul 21, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?$12.90Jul 17, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$30.00Jul 6, 13:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?$10.05Jun 23, 06:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
46/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
78% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $7.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 15:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 04:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.