Lanky-Collision
0x95dce20aabdaa87353fe9105386df78b22c56b74
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$108.50
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
1096 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-800.00
- YES
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?
851 shares @ 82.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-700.00
- NO
Will England win on 2026-07-01?
333 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- JETS
Patriots vs. Jets
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?
119 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?
111 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Czechia vs. San Marino end in a draw?
97 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?
81 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- NO
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
63 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-01?$202.40Jul 1, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win on 2026-07-01?$504.89Jul 1, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-01?$404.44Jul 1, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-29?$5.15Jun 29, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?$806.48Jun 29, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$1.0KJun 29, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$225.01Jun 29, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$813.92Jun 27, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$883.94Jun 27, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$40.00Apr 24, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?$200.00Apr 5, 11:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tunisia win on 2025-11-12?$0.00Mar 27, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?$0.00Mar 27, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.00Mar 27, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.00Mar 27, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMMexican Open: Alexander Zverev vs Miomir Kecmanovic$0.00Mar 27, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMMexican Open: Alexander Zverev vs Miomir Kecmanovic$0.00Mar 27, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$500.00Mar 27, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?$500.00Mar 27, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?$115.65Mar 27, 00:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $221.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 22:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 17:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.