Needy-Pneumonia
0x95ec9e76893b713c15678af17fd0960eb0a1521c
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$28.06
Total PnL
$-187.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
28 shares @ 35.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$28.06
$18.06
- NO
Will Viktor Gyokeres sign with a new club during the transfer window?
978 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
558 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
224 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will Darwin Nunez sign with a new club during the transfer window?
220 shares @ 28.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-61.77
- NO
Will Xavi Simons sign with a new club during the transfer window?
100 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?
86 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Benjamin Sesko sign with a new club during the transfer window?
79 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
62 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$5.00Oct 4, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darwin Nunez sign with a new club during the transfer window?$5.00Aug 3, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Isak sign with a new club during the transfer window?$3.00Aug 3, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Sesko sign with a new club during the transfer window? $3.00Aug 3, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavi Simons sign with a new club during the transfer window?$5.00Aug 3, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodrygo Silva de Goes sign with a new club during the transfer window?$7.00Jul 27, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darwin Nunez sign with a new club during the transfer window?$6.77Jul 27, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$5.00Jul 27, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$5.00Jul 27, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win the UEFA Women's Euro?$36.95Jul 27, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the UEFA Women's Euro?$5.00Jul 27, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the UEFA Women's Euro?$8.00Jul 27, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darwin Nunez sign with a new club during the transfer window?$8.00Jul 26, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Isak sign with a new club during the transfer window?$5.00Jul 24, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Viktor Gyokeres sign with a new club during the transfer window?$2.00Jul 24, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darwin Nunez sign with a new club during the transfer window?$5.00Jul 21, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavi Simons sign with a new club during the transfer window?$3.00Jul 21, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Viktor Gyokeres sign with a new club during the transfer window?$3.00Jul 21, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$5.00Jul 21, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darwin Nunez sign with a new club during the transfer window?$7.00Jul 20, 18:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $5.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 09:09 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 4, 16:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.