Vivid-Pea
0x960fffd765ec46641aa3b8bbb9052b867d2b5709
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$16.36
Total PnL
$-4.4K
Realised
$-747.32
Win rate
6%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
14 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.16
$1.56
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
10 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.1¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.21
$-0.10
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
4000 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-71.62
- YES
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
3800 shares @ 57.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- NO
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
708 shares @ 43.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-306.60
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
335 shares @ 44.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-150.22
- YES
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
247 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-99.00
- YES
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
217 shares @ 31.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-67.97
- YES
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
187 shares @ 68.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-128.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by April 30?$101.12May 31, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.15May 30, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.15May 30, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$12.60Mar 31, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$90.00Mar 26, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$90.00Mar 19, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?$3.02Mar 17, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$26.34Mar 17, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$122.68Mar 17, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$21.60Mar 16, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by March 31?$67.97Mar 15, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by March 31?$90.00Mar 15, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oman strike Iran by March 31?$10.80Mar 14, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?$17.10Mar 13, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$99.00Mar 8, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$99.00Mar 8, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?$99.00Mar 8, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?$83.30Mar 6, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?$99.00Mar 6, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$34.64Mar 5, 04:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $65.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 02:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 18:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.