Noisy-Randomization
0x96171d12c08399953e9ecd6b86602ba62017ad6c
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-438.91
Realised
$-3.64
Win rate
6%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-14.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
3409 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-33.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
511 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- MOROCCO
Spread: France (-1.5)
286 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-188.65
- YES
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- SPURS
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)
52 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-26.59
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
39 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
35 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
17 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-14.97
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$5.32Aug 5, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$4.83Aug 5, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$5.32Aug 4, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$5.00Aug 4, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$5.32Aug 4, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$4.98Aug 4, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$5.32Aug 3, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$5.00Aug 3, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$5.00Jul 30, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$5.32Jul 30, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$5.00Jul 30, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$5.38Jul 29, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$4.98Jul 29, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$5.32Jul 28, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.30Jul 28, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$4.70Jul 28, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$5.32Jul 24, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$5.00Jul 24, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$2.51Jul 22, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$4.98Jul 22, 01:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 32 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
32 closed markets, 6% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $7.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 09:31 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 13:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.