Gleaming-Codon
0x9619e6c7124de0a7cb12346f690fb4aab14aa6c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$78.81
Total PnL
$-106.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?
227 shares @ 45.8¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$64.63
$-39.28
- YES
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
691 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.73
$-0.60
- YES
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
691 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.04
$-1.29
- YES
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
691 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.04
$-1.29
- YES
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
691 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.04
$-1.29
- YES
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
691 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.04
$-1.29
- YES
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
691 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.04
$-1.29
- YES
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
691 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.04
$-1.29
- YES
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
691 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.04
$-1.29
- YES
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
691 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.04
$-1.29
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$2.03Jul 11, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.99Jul 11, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.11Jul 10, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.15Jul 9, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.59Jul 9, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.02Jul 9, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.04Jul 9, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$8.16May 2, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$2.70Apr 7, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65% and 70%?$0.90Apr 2, 22:48 UTC
- CONVERSIONTurnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election$0.00Apr 2, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 70% and 75%?$2.81Apr 2, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEM50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?$0.00Apr 2, 21:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $3.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 19:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.