Humongous-Roundabout
0x9638677b0017d8cfc2c402d3f5c30f1dd1abca8c
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$9.71
Total PnL
$-3.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during Monday news conference?
3 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$3.03
$1.03
- NO
Will Trump say "Left Behind" during Monday news conference?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$2.08
$1.08
- YES
Will Trump say "Biden" during Monday news conference?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Monday news conference?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.18
$-0.82
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
5 shares @ 61.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Left Behind" during Monday news conference?$1.00Apr 6, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" during Monday news conference?$1.00Apr 6, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during Monday news conference?$2.00Apr 6, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Monday news conference?$1.00Apr 6, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$0.00Apr 6, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.56Apr 6, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?$0.86Apr 6, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?$0.96Apr 6, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.12Apr 6, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.01Mar 29, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$2.00Feb 28, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$1.33Feb 28, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$1.05Feb 28, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$1.27Feb 27, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$0.00Feb 27, 20:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 09:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 17:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.