Same-Mistake
0x965315ecf28680eeeef12fb0ce78dc262a6806d5
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
101
Open notional
$20.75
Total PnL
$-113.79
Realised
$1.60
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 101- NO
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
4 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- GAMERLEGION
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
6 shares @ 53.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 13, 2026$2.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
9 shares @ 33.5¢·now 32.6¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.92
$-0.08
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
2 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Red Line" during his next YouTube video?
6 shares @ 36.1¢·now 26.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.47
$-0.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 13?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$4.4254m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$3.1655m ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$0.061h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$0.111h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$5.181h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$1.571h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$1.041h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$0.851h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.071h ago
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Chocolate" during his next YouTube video?$1.021h ago
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Red Line" during his next YouTube video?$2.051h ago
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video?$1.011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?$1.031h ago
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?$2.041h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?$1.032h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13?$1.032h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 13?$1.042h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$2.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$3.022h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$3.102h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 14h ago
- Last active
- 54m ago
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
