0x96877397287129f61dc3362087f89be819091b7c
0x96877397287129f61dc3362087f89be819091b7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
109
Open notional
$75.28
Total PnL
$1.58
Realised
$-0.47
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 109- YES
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?
24 shares @ 62.1¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$19.44
$4.53
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
6 shares @ 47.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$5.55
$2.73
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 21?
11 shares @ 10.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$3.96
$2.86
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 21?
11 shares @ 30.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$3.41
$0.11
- YES
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?
24 shares @ 8.8¢·now 11.2¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$2.69
$0.59
- YES
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
5 shares @ 55.5¢·now 50.2¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$2.51
$-0.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 21?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.48
$0.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 20?
6 shares @ 40.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$2.34
$-0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 21?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.31
$0.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 21?
6 shares @ 24.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.10
$0.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 20?$0.06Jun 20, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C or higher on June 20?$0.02Jun 20, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 20?$0.11Jun 20, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or below on June 20?$0.01Jun 20, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 20?$0.88Jun 20, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 20?$0.56Jun 20, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 20?$0.03Jun 20, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 20?$0.43Jun 20, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?$1.49Jun 20, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 20?$2.47Jun 20, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 20?$0.02Jun 20, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 20?$0.17Jun 20, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 20?$0.01Jun 20, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 20?$0.01Jun 20, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 20?$0.08Jun 20, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 20?$0.03Jun 20, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 20?$0.03Jun 20, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 20?$0.43Jun 20, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 20?$0.01Jun 20, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C or below on June 20?$0.01Jun 20, 05:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 04:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 06:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.