Tiny-Pea
0x96960b52e99274179f2f3f33e4a9e74540282bc3
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.8K
Total PnL
$-8.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1800 shares @ 83.7¢·now 95.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$214.80
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
600 shares @ 90.3¢·now 97.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$582.59
$40.60
- NO
NATO dissolves before 2027?
500 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$487.00
$37.00
- NO
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
500 shares @ 89.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$409.97
$-35.00
- NO
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
349 shares @ 86.5¢·now 90.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$315.88
$13.80
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
200 shares @ 84.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$189.00
$21.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
200 shares @ 77.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$175.00
$21.00
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
200 shares @ 64.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$147.00
$19.00
- GUIDO JUSTO
Liberec: Guido Justo vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
100 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$99.94
$44.95
- MH MACCABI TEL AVIV
MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: Team to Advance
100 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$98.35
$0.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-07-28?$76.00Jul 28, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMLos Cabos Open: Coleman Wong vs Darwin Blanch$100.00Jul 28, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYApóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: Team to Advance$48.80Jul 28, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYApóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: Team to Advance$48.80Jul 28, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?$91.77Jul 28, 04:45 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Fuego vs Kits Esports (BO5) - LRN Playoffs$100.00Jul 28, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMDavid Peterson: Strikeouts O/U 3.5$100.00Jul 28, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?$3.23Jul 28, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5$20.00Jul 28, 04:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill AC Goianiense vs. Operário Ferroviário EC end in a draw?$100.00Jul 28, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cuiabá EC win on 2026-07-27?$100.00Jul 28, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5$20.00Jul 28, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMArizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5$99.99Jul 28, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)$100.00Jul 28, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMToronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5$100.00Jul 28, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)$100.00Jul 28, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?$90.45Jul 28, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYConnecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 156.5$49.25Jul 28, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AA Estudiantes win on 2026-07-28?$91.41Jul 28, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5$45.23Jul 28, 01:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $35.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 18:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 09:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.