Able-Chard
0x96a82bc787719c03e3d4963206e10779e7db9469
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$35.24
Total PnL
$-89.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?
19 shares @ 90.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$18.72
$1.72
- NO
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?
22 shares @ 27.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$5.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$5.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will Franco Colapinto win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?
219 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?$2.01May 22, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?$6.18May 22, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?$15.06May 22, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?$5.08May 22, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.04May 22, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 22, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$30.75May 22, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$25.19May 15, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jesus Christ return in 2025?$25.59May 15, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return in 2025?$25.28Nov 6, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$24.63Nov 6, 22:24 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?$0.00Aug 24, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel conflict ends by Friday?$0.00Aug 24, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMJune 12 internet outages caused by a hack?$0.00Aug 24, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Aug 24, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Aug 24, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.00Aug 24, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?$2.00Aug 24, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin more valuable than any company in 2025?$1.00Aug 24, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by August 31?$1.00Aug 24, 00:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $7.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 18:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 16:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".