Soulful-Remains-Chorus
0x96bfc07480d572c3aedb2b1f5cb08a98f297403e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$1.6K
Realised
$1.7K
Win rate
47%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
289 shares @ 81.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$233.89
$-0.12
- YES
Will Team Vitality win the EWC Valorant Tournament
355 shares @ 21.5¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$67.45
$-8.75
- NO
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
100 shares @ 66.7¢·now 67.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2026$67.00
$0.30
- NO
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?
101 shares @ 65.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$64.97
$-0.50
- NO
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
79 shares @ 74.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$58.76
$0.39
- YES
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
333 shares @ 17.5¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$58.35
$0.06
- NO
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?
96 shares @ 54.6¢·now 56.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$53.96
$1.33
- NO
Will BetBoom Team Win the XSE Pro League
75 shares @ 72.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$53.95
$-0.38
- YES
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
350 shares @ 14.5¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.02
$-3.68
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
49 shares @ 74.5¢·now 73.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$36.20
$-0.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?$0.97Jul 10, 07:17 UTC
- MERGEWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$136.29Jul 10, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$13.00Jul 10, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$11.80Jul 10, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$6.73Jul 10, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$8.85Jul 10, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$13.00Jul 10, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$9.44Jul 10, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?$2.88Jul 10, 06:52 UTC
- MERGEWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$161.60Jul 10, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$128.62Jul 10, 06:51 UTC
- MERGEWill Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$100.00Jul 10, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$87.90Jul 10, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$59.94Jul 10, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$148.97Jul 10, 06:29 UTC
- MERGEWill Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$25.94Jul 10, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$47.70Jul 10, 06:27 UTC
- MERGEWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$86.00Jul 10, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?$33.05Jul 10, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?$33.65Jul 10, 06:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
47% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
36 closed markets, 47% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $39.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 05:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 07:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.