Miserly-Trove
0x96cfd4eeefde52564956225838f72c3dc677bce2
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$1.80
Total PnL
$-0.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1.01May 7, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Myth Esports vs Frites Esports Club (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season$1.00May 7, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on April 25?$2.00May 7, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on April 25?$2.00May 7, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on April 25?$2.00Apr 25, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on April 25?$2.00Apr 25, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$0.00Jan 17, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$0.00Jan 1, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$1.41Jan 1, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.41Jan 1, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.23Dec 2, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.5KNov 25, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$2.1KNov 25, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$0.00Oct 31, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$6.46Jul 9, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on May 31?$2.44Jul 9, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 250–274 times May 9–16?$1.03May 17, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 67–68°F on May 16?$40.08May 17, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 65–66°F on May 16?$207.04May 17, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 250–274 times May 9–16?$1.00May 16, 13:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $129.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 18:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 18:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.