0x96ec6b983379121524e0cada8a615488416ee3e1
0x96ec6b983379121524e0cada8a615488416ee3e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-232.49
Realised
$-87.78
Win rate
0%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4484 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.97
- YES
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?
2500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 3?
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19?
66 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-18.07
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 23?
65 shares @ 25.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-16.62
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 23?
43 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-11.11
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
29 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-13.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.00May 31, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.00May 31, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$4.92May 26, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.22May 26, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$5.98May 26, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.82May 26, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$4.20May 26, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$6.75May 26, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$5.00May 26, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.00May 22, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.02May 22, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.02May 22, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.02May 22, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.02May 22, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.02May 22, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.02May 22, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.02May 22, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.02May 22, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.02May 22, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.02May 22, 00:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 15:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.