Satisfied-Detention
0x96edc2218bf9e7268a1d47615583ea842e105e63
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$6.96
Total PnL
$-30.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
3 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$3.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 11.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$2.30
$1.30
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.62
$0.62
- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Inuit Ataqatigiit win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?
22 shares @ 89.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?
22 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Petr Fiala be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?
6 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?
3 shares @ 29.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$3.00Jul 18, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$4.42Jul 18, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$4.40Jun 7, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.00Apr 3, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.00Mar 14, 17:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 3-9?$6.46Mar 14, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 3-9?$6.40Feb 9, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?$1.00Jan 20, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$7.40Jan 20, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$7.30Dec 1, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 45-46°F on November 14?$1.0KNov 16, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 45-46°F on November 14?$1.0KNov 14, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 66°F or higher on November 13?$1.0KNov 14, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 66°F or higher on November 13?$999.56Nov 13, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 65°F or higher on November 12?$999.55Nov 13, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 65°F or higher on November 12?$996.48Nov 12, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 53°F or below on November 11?$340.34Nov 12, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 64°F or higher on November 11?$656.15Nov 12, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 64°F or higher on November 11?$654.17Nov 11, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 53°F or below on November 11?$340.00Nov 11, 06:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $344.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 17:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 13:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.