Critical-Proliferation
0x96f6a9a5fb36c9997bfdb2e5f0eef28b3b906919
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$3.06
Total PnL
$-53.09
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.10
$0.00
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,400 on December 31?
5348 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.35
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on February 12?
1107 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.96
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 5?
1101 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.41
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 26?
1099 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 10?
1097 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.29
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on April 8?
1092 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 18?
1085 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on April 17?
1084 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$2.10Jul 3, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$2.12Jul 1, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 14?$2.11Jun 14, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 5?$2.10Jun 5, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$2.10Jun 2, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.21May 31, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 27?$2.10May 27, 00:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.04May 22, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.02May 22, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 21?$1.1KMay 22, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 21?$1.1KMay 21, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 20?$1.1KMay 20, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 20?$1.1KMay 20, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 19?$1.1KMay 19, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 19?$1.1KMay 19, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 18?$1.1KMay 18, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 18?$1.1KMay 18, 00:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 17?$1.1KMay 17, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 17?$1.1KMay 17, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on May 16?$1.1KMay 16, 19:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $344.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 04:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 08:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.