Unused-Intervenor
0x973ad0a7fdc809a0395538b2296e3bc7cdea0da3
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.85
Total PnL
$-2.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.85
$0.85
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?$1.00May 23, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$1.00May 23, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.04May 11, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$0.11Apr 28, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$1.00Apr 28, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$1.00Apr 24, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.13Apr 24, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.00Apr 24, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$0.01Apr 24, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$0.02Apr 23, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$0.01Apr 23, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.29Apr 23, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.00Apr 23, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.00Apr 23, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.00Apr 23, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$0.00Apr 23, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.14Apr 23, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.00Apr 23, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$1.00Apr 23, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.00Apr 23, 20:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 20:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 21:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.