Late-Wildlife
0x973fb47572c29fe05b49909ec14ac36c8d918592
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$77.77
Total PnL
$-94.07
Realised
$-0.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- CINCINNATI REDS
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds
70 shares @ 40.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$28.35
$0.35
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
8 shares @ 76.2¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.15
$0.18
- YES
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
25 shares @ 9.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$6.13
$3.88
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 70.4¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.00
$0.01
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
7 shares @ 83.6¢·now 83.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
8 shares @ 79.3¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$5.62
$-0.36
- NO
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
5 shares @ 69.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$4.45
$1.00
- NO
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.98
$-0.02
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
5 shares @ 69.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.65
$0.20
- YES
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
5 shares @ 64.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$3.13
$-0.07
Recent activity
- REDEEMStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$7.73Jun 22, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$3.25Jun 22, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?$2.25Jun 22, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$2.49Jun 22, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?$1.04Jun 22, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds$28.50Jun 22, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Collin Morikawa win the 2026 U.S. Open?$1.02Jun 21, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2.05Jun 21, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$2.15Jun 21, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$3.10Jun 21, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: GLYPH vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs$1.56Jun 21, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$3.45Jun 21, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$3.45Jun 21, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.74Jun 21, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: GLYPH vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs$1.01Jun 21, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Tunisia 1 - 1 Japan?$1.12Jun 21, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Tunisia 0 - 2 Japan?$1.16Jun 21, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Tunisia 0 - 3 Japan?$1.08Jun 21, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Tunisia 1 - 3 Japan?$1.06Jun 21, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$1.04Jun 21, 04:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $2.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 17:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 10:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.