Incomplete-Divide
0x974bef5e92a21efb058c99825dc42efeff16d4ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
91
Open notional
$20.65
Total PnL
$-818.96
Realised
$26.01
Win rate
42%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
244 shares @ 4.1¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.68
$-2.32
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
61 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.90
$0.40
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
187 shares @ 18.7¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.22
$-30.78
- YES
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
353 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.59
$-1.39
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
133 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.26
$-4.98
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the Christian Democratic People’s Party (KDNP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
1024 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 12, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$5.07Jun 2, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$6.24Mar 16, 00:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$6.25Mar 16, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$5.00Mar 15, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$10.00Mar 15, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$15.00Mar 15, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Cyprus in March?$5.00Mar 15, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYVirginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devils$5.00Mar 15, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$5.00Mar 15, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$5.00Mar 15, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLSharks vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5$49.99Mar 15, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSharks vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5$10.10Mar 15, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$7.00Mar 15, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$1.12Mar 15, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$3.00Mar 15, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$1.66Mar 15, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$2.79Mar 15, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$2.85Mar 15, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$1.26Mar 15, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$6.29Mar 15, 01:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 02:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 18:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".