Wise-Rabbi
0x974faca19c56e2f16a6ee568cb40acd4d0cfcd80
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
76
Open notional
$666.40
Total PnL
$-38.6K
Realised
$-11.06
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
265 shares @ 67.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$242.18
$64.85
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
718 shares @ 55.7¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$154.35
$-245.62
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1360 shares @ 25.2¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$115.63
$-226.65
- YES
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
115 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$58.13
$-1.73
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
62 shares @ 58.1¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.75
$2.70
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
58 shares @ 47.9¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$25.10
$-2.56
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
29 shares @ 37.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.59
$9.78
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
13 shares @ 28.7¢·now 32.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$4.22
$0.50
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3 shares @ 61.1¢·now 76.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.06
$0.41
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
12 shares @ 16.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.62
$-0.30
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.04Jul 9, 21:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.