Irritating-Line
0x9779802fb7bcf617bb37339accad6f088800bb8a
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$30.59
Total PnL
$-60.43
Realised
$-1.68
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
49 shares @ 14.2¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.02
$1.09
- YES
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
119 shares @ 6.7¢·now 6.5¢·exp Feb 15, 2027$7.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
46 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.27
$-0.23
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
7 shares @ 41.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.77
$0.77
- YES
UK Recession in 2026?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$2.11
$-2.89
- YES
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
12 shares @ 34.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.00
$-2.00
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
22 shares @ 27.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$1.67
$-4.33
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 17?
174 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 3?
78 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
65 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?$7.17Jul 27, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?$8.37Jul 27, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? $10.39Jul 2, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$3.07May 28, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on May 29?$1.04May 28, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUK Recession in 2026?$5.17May 28, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikita Kucherov win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$0.03May 28, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Connor McDavid win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$0.02May 28, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikita Kucherov win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$2.00Apr 18, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Connor McDavid win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$3.00Apr 18, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? $5.00Apr 18, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.31Apr 10, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?$6.82Apr 10, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?$4.80Apr 10, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?$2.00Apr 10, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 Masters tournament?$2.00Apr 10, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?$5.00Apr 10, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?$9.45Apr 10, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?$6.48Mar 16, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNCAA Tournament: No. 16 seed to pull off an upset?$2.00Mar 16, 11:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $4.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 00:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 10:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.