Respectful-Herring
0x97b1761a9ccda356189962f5bcff3a28ec9e5880
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$261.02
Total PnL
$6.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
387 shares @ 24.9¢·now 36.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$142.62
$46.21
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
272 shares @ 28.2¢·now 43.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$118.39
$41.61
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 9?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 12-18?
274 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 12-18?
117 shares @ 42.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
17 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$55.78Apr 8, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$90.00Apr 8, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?$65.59Mar 18, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$16.00Mar 11, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.41Mar 8, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$19.57Feb 28, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$33.33Feb 28, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$43.75Feb 28, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$9.00Feb 18, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$5.04Feb 18, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.96Feb 18, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$10.00Feb 17, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$7.00Feb 17, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$2.43Feb 17, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?$4.50Feb 17, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$5.12Feb 17, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5AM ET$10.39Feb 17, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5AM ET$10.00Feb 17, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$5.00Feb 2, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$5.00Feb 2, 10:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $19.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 13:44 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 10:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.