Profuse-Swine-Design
0x97cb3a7cef8eb9f7e5c1b549be4bdcb77e4bc910
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-13.2K
Realised
$-1.8K
Win rate
26%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2653 shares @ 19.6¢·now 34.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$921.67
$401.68
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3857 shares @ 2.8¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$117.64
$9.65
- YES
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
200 shares @ 56.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$112.98
$0.98
- YES
Iran leadership change by July 31?
2173 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$54.33
$-10.67
- YES
Will Cristiano Ronaldo's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 19.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.50
$-7.50
- NO
Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.35
$0.30
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
22000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
19207 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-542.35
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?
18918 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-359.88
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
12731 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.09Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by July 7?$103.29Jul 3, 23:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by July 31?$45.00Jul 2, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by July 31?$20.00Jul 2, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 7?$226.39Jul 2, 16:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 2, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$93.61Jul 1, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$78.64Jul 1, 09:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 1, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$205.83Jun 30, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$5.00Jun 30, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$10.00Jun 30, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.92Jun 30, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$82.02Jun 30, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?$191.88Jun 30, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$366.57Jun 30, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$118.83Jun 30, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$27.72Jun 30, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?$81.44Jun 30, 07:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
26% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $92.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.