Motionless-Boxspring
0x97d37d16d1774785197bfa23ffed625a8e493f3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-805.70
Realised
$117.36
Win rate
78%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
552 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$534.68
$4.48
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
294 shares @ 51.7¢·now 51.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$151.59
$-0.69
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
217 shares @ 63.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$137.71
$1.08
- NO
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
163 shares @ 59.4¢·now 65.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$106.27
$9.12
- NO
Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?
104 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$100.60
$5.28
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100 shares @ 95.9¢·now 97.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$96.95
$1.05
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
100 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$86.50
$0.50
- NO
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?
57 shares @ 78.7¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.50
$0.72
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
59 shares @ 65.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.86
$1.19
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
43 shares @ 78.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.19
$1.92
Recent activity
- TRADESELLRussia coup attempt in 2026?$275.68May 16, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$38.67May 16, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$18.00May 16, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$11.70May 16, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$20.28May 16, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia coup attempt in 2026?$4.33May 16, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia coup attempt in 2026?$43.50May 16, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia coup attempt in 2026?$20.50May 16, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia coup attempt in 2026?$28.51May 16, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia coup attempt in 2026?$178.00May 16, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?$36.75May 16, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$158.00May 16, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? $6.24May 16, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$87.72May 16, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$341.05May 16, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$15.67May 16, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$18.79May 16, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$18.79May 16, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$27.90May 16, 02:28 UTC
- REWARD$4.49May 16, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $62.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 20:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 21:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".