Motionless-Boxspring
0x97d37d16d1774785197bfa23ffed625a8e493f3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-427.56
Realised
$425.87
Win rate
88%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
342 shares @ 86.1¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$300.74
$6.63
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
340 shares @ 78.5¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$285.72
$18.74
- NO
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
310 shares @ 86.1¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$282.23
$15.19
- NO
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
335 shares @ 67.3¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$234.44
$9.19
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
200 shares @ 85.5¢·now 94.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$188.00
$17.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 83.3¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$173.02
$6.44
- NO
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?
194 shares @ 78.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$162.62
$11.57
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 74.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$149.01
$1.00
- NO
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31?
136 shares @ 85.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$125.80
$9.02
- NO
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
128 shares @ 92.8¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$122.17
$3.09
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$20.00Jul 1, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$3.15Jul 1, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?$4.52Jul 1, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$8.59Jul 1, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$8.34Jul 1, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$78.85Jul 1, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$100.15Jul 1, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei in June?$22.25Jul 1, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$4.98Jul 1, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$1.45Jul 1, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election called by December 31, 2026?$7.17Jul 1, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$2.20Jul 1, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$5.49Jul 1, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election called by December 31, 2026?$196.57Jul 1, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?$1.45Jul 1, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$16.20Jul 1, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$34.25Jul 1, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$23.13Jul 1, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$45.33Jul 1, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by December 31, 2026?$77.00Jul 1, 06:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $65.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 20:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 20:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.