Purple-Fruit
0x97ead83eb0e6b7f142e63284791882f05ddf3363
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
82
Open notional
$51.3K
Total PnL
$-14.5K
Realised
$-954.37
Win rate
58%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
16712 shares @ 26.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.5K
$165.97
- NO
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?
4612 shares @ 86.2¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$4.5K
$518.86
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
5355 shares @ 67.7¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.2K
$527.14
- YES
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?
4444 shares @ 93.2¢·now 88.3¢·exp Jul 25, 2028$3.9K
$-219.98
- YES
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
4644 shares @ 80.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.6K
$-139.31
- NO
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?
2420 shares @ 83.2¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$2.4K
$383.85
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
2000 shares @ 75.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.0K
$479.00
- NO
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
2075 shares @ 78.3¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.7K
$117.91
- NO
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?
1917 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.7K
$124.93
- YES
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
2142 shares @ 78.0¢·now 80.7¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.7K
$58.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$313.28Jul 28, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMTargu Mures: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu$2.7KJul 28, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$3.24Jul 28, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$431.96Jul 28, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?$832.40Jul 28, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$5.40Jul 28, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTargu Mures: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu$398.41Jul 28, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTargu Mures: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu$743.58Jul 28, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTargu Mures: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu$28.80Jul 28, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTargu Mures: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu$91.92Jul 28, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTargu Mures: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu$92.16Jul 28, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTargu Mures: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu$92.16Jul 28, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTargu Mures: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu$67.15Jul 28, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTargu Mures: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu$92.40Jul 28, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTargu Mures: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu$240.00Jul 28, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTargu Mures: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu$199.92Jul 28, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTargu Mures: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu$199.92Jul 28, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTargu Mures: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu$23.33Jul 28, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTargu Mures: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu$226.15Jul 28, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTargu Mures: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu$4.00Jul 28, 14:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
58% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $339.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 16:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 15:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.