Light-Prison
0x97f30e4144ed055846b40244846a4e6b574598e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$2.09
Total PnL
$-46.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.53
$-3.47
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
24 shares @ 8.3¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.56
$-1.44
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 4?
61 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
55 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
19 shares @ 42.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
9 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
6 shares @ 33.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
6 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$2.33Jul 4, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.02Jul 4, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$2.02Jul 4, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.05Jul 4, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$8.17Jun 26, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.05Jun 26, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.05Jun 26, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.06Jun 26, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.04Jun 26, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$4.14Jun 26, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.03Jun 26, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.04Jun 26, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.04Jun 26, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.05Jun 24, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.04Jun 24, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.06Jun 24, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$6.25Jun 24, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$1.06Jun 24, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$2.33Jun 23, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.04Jun 23, 21:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 22:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 20:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.