Sniveling-Enquiry
0x9804ee94a496652e621e39a1bbb0384c8b2b42e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-84.29
Win rate
0%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6063 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?
882 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
879 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
818 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-16.36
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?
625 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
313 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
227 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
208 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-125.00
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?
208 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$9.05Jul 24, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$5.21Jul 24, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$53.84Jul 19, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$38.47Jul 19, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$61.72Jul 19, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half AND Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Half$39.99Jul 19, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$98.73Jul 19, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$136.74Jul 19, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$0.00Jul 17, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$5.31Jul 17, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$7.73Jul 17, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$5.13Jul 17, 12:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.11Jul 14, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.74Jul 14, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$66.01Jul 14, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$32.87Jul 14, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$60.00Jul 14, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$49.08Jul 14, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw? AND Will France win on 2026-07-14?$20.00Jul 14, 11:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $33.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 06:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 09:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.