Neat-Circumstance
0x98167976db6643d6126d5feadd96b6027d765655
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$119.66
Total PnL
$-19.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or higher on May 2?
99 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$99.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 2?
21 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$20.61
$0.01
- MARCINKO
ATX Open: Petra Marcinko vs Kimberly Birrell
9 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- NICOLAI BUDKOV KJAER
Thionville: Sebastian Ofner vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
9 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- BIANCA ANDREESCU
Oeiras 4: Fiona Ferro vs Bianca Andreescu
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
- ALAN MAGADAN
Morelos: Stefan Kozlov vs Alan Magadan
7 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- LEKSANDS IF
SHL: Malmoe vs. Leksands IF
6 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- CANUCKS
Canucks vs. Kraken
6 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or higher on May 2?$99.009h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 2?$20.609h ago
- REDEEMWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $156 Week of April 27 2026?$120.449h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $156 Week of April 27 2026?$120.021d ago
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.00 in April?$119.121d ago
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.00 in April?$119.012d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$119.242d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$119.014d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?$119.824d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?$119.716d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?$119.716d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?$119.606d ago
- TRADESELLWill Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$119.606d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$119.726d ago
- REDEEMMadrid Open: Laura Samson vs Anna Bondar$7.516d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 25?$112.216d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 25?$112.118d ago
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Laura Samson vs Anna Bondar$5.608d ago
- TRADESELLWill Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$117.708d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$117.838d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $107.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 20d ago
- Last active
- 9h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".