Worn-Geology
0x98175a1fb27de9e37db19a49f0f551777b9e5918
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$26.39
Total PnL
$-25.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
10 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.3¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$10.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by March 20?
5 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$5.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 20?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$5.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
159 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMJets vs. Canadiens$0.00Mar 20, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5.81Mar 20, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by March 20?$5.00Mar 19, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 20?$5.00Mar 19, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.00Mar 14, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.00Mar 14, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.00Mar 14, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.00Mar 14, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.00Mar 14, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$10.00Mar 14, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.00Mar 14, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5.00Mar 14, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?$0.00Mar 14, 18:48 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?$0.00Mar 14, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$6.20Mar 14, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?$2.08Mar 14, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?$2.47Mar 14, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?$2.00Mar 1, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in December?$2.00Dec 16, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO1)$2.94Dec 16, 11:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $4.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 23:35 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 00:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".