Rural-Dragonfruit
0x982a1cae31b2661843107aca1f4108875fb0c3ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-33.22
Realised
$-0.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
1096 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 29?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?
143 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.83
- YES
QatarEnergy resumes LNG production by March 14?
103 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?$1.00Mar 18, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?$0.93Mar 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?$1.00Mar 17, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in United States?$0.63Mar 17, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 17, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit Greenland by March 31?$0.79Mar 17, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$0.73Mar 17, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.00Mar 17, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$1.00Mar 17, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$2.05Mar 17, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Greenland by March 31?$1.00Mar 13, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatarEnergy resumes LNG production by March 14?$1.00Mar 13, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$2.00Mar 13, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?$1.83Mar 13, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 13, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?$1.00Mar 13, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?$1.00Mar 13, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in United States?$1.00Mar 13, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$2.00Mar 13, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?$1.00Mar 13, 11:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 28, 18:36 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.