Alarmed-Hydrofoil
0x9867aeb3fe25208517850a71cc3d83230bdff107
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$92.90
Total PnL
$-47.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
US government shutdown Saturday?
31 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$30.77
$10.77
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.87
$5.87
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$8.93
$3.93
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$8.33
$3.33
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$7.16
$2.22
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 23?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$6.10
$1.10
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.09
$-0.91
- NO
Government shutdown on Saturday?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$4.00
$3.00
- UP
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on January 21?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$2.70
$1.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$2.51
$0.53
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Mar 13, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYPrince Andrew sentenced to prison?$1.00Feb 23, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffs$1.00Feb 23, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 23, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 23, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$2.00Feb 23, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.00Feb 23, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.00Feb 23, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$3.75Feb 23, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.00Feb 23, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.00Feb 23, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.00Feb 23, 15:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 19, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 18?$1.00Feb 18, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$2.00Feb 18, 15:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 18, 00:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 17, 00:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 16, 00:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 15, 00:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 14, 00:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 15:30 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 00:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".