Likely-Exhibit
0x9868325cf3760b5256450e561d4ab6095943907e
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.32
Total PnL
$-357.50
Realised
$60.90
Win rate
55%
148 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Kevin Latz be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
80 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.32
$-2.16
- YES
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 23, 2026?
1018 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-11.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on March 25?
183 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
- OVER
FC Augsburg vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5
181 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- OVER
Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 238.5
181 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.36
- SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Colorado State Rams
180 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.24
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on February 24?
180 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- UP
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 20?
180 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
180 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.87
- LOUD
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)
180 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?$2.12Jun 13, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?$2.88Jun 13, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation be 3.7% in June?$1.14Jun 13, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation be 3.7% in June?$0.12Jun 13, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?$0.51Jun 13, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?$0.51Jun 13, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?$1.93Jun 13, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?$1.06Jun 13, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?$0.70Jun 13, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?$0.44Jun 13, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?$2.78Jun 13, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?$0.57Jun 13, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?$1.32Jun 13, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?$1.00Jun 13, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?$1.80Jun 13, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?$0.90Jun 13, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$0.12Jun 13, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?$0.51Jun 13, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?$0.56Jun 13, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?$1.35Jun 13, 19:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 17:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 22:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 148 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.