Likely-Exhibit
0x9868325cf3760b5256450e561d4ab6095943907e
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.32
Total PnL
$-357.50
Realised
$60.90
Win rate
55%
148 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Kevin Latz be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
80 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.32
$-2.16
- YES
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 23, 2026?
1018 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-11.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on March 25?
183 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
- OVER
FC Augsburg vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5
181 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- OVER
Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 238.5
181 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.36
- SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Colorado State Rams
180 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.24
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on February 24?
180 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- UP
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 20?
180 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
180 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.87
- LOUD
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)
180 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$1.84Jun 13, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$1.59Jun 13, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June?$0.50Jun 13, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.20Jun 13, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.20Jun 13, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.78Jun 13, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.27Jun 13, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.94Jun 13, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.24Jun 13, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.48Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.26Jun 13, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.11Jun 13, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.17Jun 13, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.08Jun 13, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.58Jun 13, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.31Jun 13, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.73Jun 13, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$1.28Jun 13, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.27Jun 13, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June?$0.64Jun 13, 17:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 16:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 148 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.