Nippy-Variety
0x986cd755fbb6bae4b29435dd594398202cc43569
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$124.90
Total PnL
$-34.80
Realised
$-4.63
Win rate
38%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?
61 shares @ 58.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$61.00
$25.57
- YES
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
20 shares @ 82.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.00
$3.54
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?
12 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$12.00
$1.32
- YES
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
42 shares @ 85.0¢·now 26.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.26
$-24.46
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?
5 shares @ 56.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$4.95
$2.15
- NO
Will DoorDash report between 875 million and 900 million total orders in Q4 2025?
4 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$4.00
$1.12
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.00
$1.17
- NO
French election called by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.96
$0.94
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
3 shares @ 74.9¢·now 91.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.74
$0.49
- NO
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$2.00
$0.32
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 16 be between 2,400,000 and 2,500,000?$5.07Jan 16, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 16 be between 2,400,000 and 2,500,000?$14.04Jan 16, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the first round?$14.04Jan 16, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUp Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?$3.96Jan 16, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 16 be between 2,400,000 and 2,500,000?$39.69Jan 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$1.62Jan 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Audit" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$1.98Jan 15, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?$5.59Jan 15, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?$0.82Jan 15, 23:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?$4.10Jan 15, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Shah" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$29.58Jan 15, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Shah" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$11.31Jan 15, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Shah" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$23.49Jan 15, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$4.88Jan 15, 23:46 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?$1.32Jan 15, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?$1.62Jan 15, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?$2.16Jan 15, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Shah" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$3.78Jan 15, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Audit" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$16.02Jan 15, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Shah" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$7.98Jan 15, 23:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 21:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.