0x9895c337cd7a93e845970f97b3baf6e7a1663870
0x9895c337cd7a93e845970f97b3baf6e7a1663870
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$24.5K
Total PnL
$-7.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
24500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$24.3K
$12.1K
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
24500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$159.25
$-12.1K
- YES
Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
27 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.18
$0.15
- YES
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
27 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.13
$0.11
- YES
Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
28 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.11
$0.08
- YES
Will Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
26 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.09
$0.07
- YES
Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
27 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.07
$0.04
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%?
28 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.04
$0.01
- YES
Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
26 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.04
$0.01
- YES
Will ReLebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
30 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Villaraigosa finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?$0.01Jul 7, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$0.01Jul 7, 03:45 UTC
- YIELD$2.18Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Autodesk Q1 billings be above $2.0B?$0.01Jul 6, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?$0.01Jul 6, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Villaraigosa finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Orange County?$0.01Jul 6, 06:55 UTC
- YIELD$2.18Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Maíllo be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?$0.00Jul 5, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Maíllo be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?$0.01Jul 5, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$0.01Jul 5, 02:56 UTC
- YIELD$2.18Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.36Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.01Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Weeknd have a #1 hit in the US in June?$0.00Jul 3, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kanye West have a #1 hit in the US in June?$0.00Jul 3, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in the US in June?$0.00Jul 3, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in the US in June?$0.00Jul 3, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alex Warren have a #1 hit in the US in June?$0.00Jul 3, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in June?$0.01Jul 3, 20:04 UTC
- SPLITWill Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$24.5KJul 3, 19:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$403.1K
Trades
6
Buy share
39%
Window
Jun 4, 01:20 UTC → Jun 4, 05:27 UTC
- BUYWill Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$32.2K@100¢Jun 4, 05:26 UTC
- BUYWill Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$31.9K@100¢Jun 4, 05:26 UTC
- BUYWill Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.2K@100¢Jun 4, 05:17 UTC
- BUYWill Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.1K@100¢Jun 4, 05:16 UTC
- SELLWill Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.2K@100¢Jun 4, 02:56 UTC
- SELLWill Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.3K@100¢Jun 4, 02:46 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 13 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
39%
Sample
medium
13 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
$403.1K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $0.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 01:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 15:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.