Lone-Severity
0x98aba57bf4bc06d65c5220826ea6e317ed1e86b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$36.65
Total PnL
$-388.58
Realised
$1.26
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
309 shares @ 9.7¢·now 9.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$29.54
$-0.46
- YES
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
280 shares @ 3.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.12
$-2.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 18?
453 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.38
- YES
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
208 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on April 17?
119 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 18?
107 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 18?
101 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-25.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 18?
101 shares @ 39.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-40.12
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
86 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-24.11
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.81Jun 2, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.29Jun 2, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$16.73May 21, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)$51.40May 17, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$7.15May 17, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)$5.11May 17, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)$17.34May 17, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)$20.31May 17, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)$12.21May 16, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?$42.65May 15, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?$24.63May 15, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?$15.25May 15, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$10.38May 13, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?$10.18May 13, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$39.47May 10, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$15.36May 10, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$51.20May 10, 04:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $15.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 18:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".