Colorful-Season
0x98bcb1f265923955b4496dba31486bb864b3a080
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$5.17
Total PnL
$-19.15
Realised
$-0.89
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
10 shares @ 46.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.56
$-0.15
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
1 shares @ 54.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.62
$-0.11
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 8?
21 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 30?
13 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.68
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
10 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.45
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?
10 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on April 29?
9 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.77
- NO
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 in May?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$2.43Jun 1, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$3.02May 20, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?$10.24May 11, 18:07 UTC
- MERGEWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$7.70May 11, 07:55 UTC
- MERGEWill the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?$9.21May 11, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?$1.81May 9, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir (PLTR) finish week of May 4 above $134?$3.61May 9, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$4.81May 6, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 8?$2.06May 6, 01:52 UTC
- MERGEWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?$10.47May 6, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?$3.73May 6, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?$6.62May 6, 01:36 UTC
- MERGEWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?$8.85May 5, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?$3.60May 5, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?$6.76May 5, 23:36 UTC
- MERGEWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$7.79May 5, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$7.77May 5, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$2.26May 5, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 8?$1.96May 5, 22:03 UTC
- MERGEWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?$9.05May 5, 21:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $4.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 19:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 06:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.