0x98c3200bbcf7872470f87f2783ac56b393ba1ee4
0x98c3200bbcf7872470f87f2783ac56b393ba1ee4
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
84
Open notional
$7.10
Total PnL
$-96.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 84- YES
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
44 shares @ 4.5¢·now 4.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.07
$0.07
- YES
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$1.88
$-0.13
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.83
$-0.16
- YES
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.73
$-0.27
- YES
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.38
$-0.62
- YES
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.36
$-0.64
- YES
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.36
$-0.64
- YES
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
74 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.26
$-0.74
- YES
Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.16
$-0.84
- YES
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.09
$-0.91
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?$14.38Mar 31, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in March 2026?$1.11Mar 18, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in March 2026?$1.00Mar 18, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 13, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 13, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$1.00Mar 6, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$1.00Mar 6, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$1.00Mar 6, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$1.00Mar 6, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on March 6?$1.00Mar 6, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on March 6?$1.00Mar 6, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on March 6?$1.00Mar 6, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 6?$1.00Mar 6, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?$1.00Mar 1, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 3?$1.00Mar 1, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 3?$1.00Mar 1, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on March 3?$1.00Mar 1, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 3?$1.00Mar 1, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$2.00Mar 1, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1.00Mar 1, 23:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 05:51 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 01:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.